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Where will the Dow Jones industrials end 2009?

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Results with 91 short comments
Total of 23,959 votes - click on the "Display Comments" bar below to sort comments

17.5%
7,400 or below (down at least 15 percent)
4,194 votes
11%
7,400 to 8,500 (down moderately)
2,644 votes
12.5%
8,500 to 9,000 (current range)
3,005 votes
33.7%
9,000 to 10,000 (up moderately)
8,067 votes
25.2%
10,000 or above (up at least 15 percent)
6,049 votes
Display Comments:
7,400 or below (down at least 15 percent)

I wonder which components of the Dow 30 will even survive the year. 65% of the economy is dependent on the consumer, problem is there gone.

{"commentId":4616470,"threadId":"457585","contentId":"2244574","authorDomain":"cascadervr"}
  • 4 votes
#1
 - Jay Larson
 - 4:16 pm EST on Wed Dec 31, 2008
8,500 to 9,000 (current range)

Up perhaps 1-3% with a test of 7,800. Other views are IMHO much to optimistic.

{"commentId":4617838,"threadId":"457585","contentId":"2244574","authorDomain":"gvgary"}
  • 1 vote
#2
 - ghult
 - 6:53 pm EST on Wed Dec 31, 2008
7,400 or below (down at least 15 percent)

It's going to be far worse than Japan's case in the 1990's. It may even look like the movie Madd Max. The end of a legacy.

{"commentId":4636611,"threadId":"457585","contentId":"2244574","authorDomain":"dper123"}
  • 4 votes
#3
 - dper123
 - 3:59 pm EST on Fri Jan 2, 2009
10,000 or above (up at least 15 percent)

THE BANKS WILL blow smoke up our asses and make us believe they are making money ther whole time kicking the ones who bailed them in the as

{"commentId":4662127,"threadId":"457585","contentId":"2244574","authorDomain":"ynotmike"}
  • 1 vote
#4
 - ynotmike
 - 5:55 pm EST on Sun Jan 4, 2009
7,400 to 8,500 (down moderately)

More and more homes are going to go foreclosure, more stores and businesses to collapse as more lose jobs and can't pay bills.

{"commentId":4662272,"threadId":"457585","contentId":"2244574","authorDomain":"pusscat"}
  • 3 votes
#5
 - Dawn-395840
 - 6:09 pm EST on Sun Jan 4, 2009
7,400 or below (down at least 15 percent)

7800 is where we would normally be except for the artificial bubble starting in 1990..thank you Reagan's consumerism. We'll bottom at 6800

{"commentId":4662276,"threadId":"457585","contentId":"2244574","authorDomain":"loveoverhate"}
  • 2 votes
#6
 - Loree
 - 6:09 pm EST on Sun Jan 4, 2009
7,400 to 8,500 (down moderately)

Right in the plunge protection range. Assuming the US stays solvent, that is.

{"commentId":4662334,"threadId":"457585","contentId":"2244574","authorDomain":"syonidv"}
  • 2 votes
#7
 - syonidv
 - 6:15 pm EST on Sun Jan 4, 2009
7,400 to 8,500 (down moderately)

Job losses will cause market to spiral downward. Retail will tank first followed by Tech and Healthcare. Where is any good newse

{"commentId":4662475,"threadId":"457585","contentId":"2244574","authorDomain":"bmt1257"}
  • 1 vote
#8
 - Real not pessimistic
 - 6:29 pm EST on Sun Jan 4, 2009
7,400 or below (down at least 15 percent)

The stock market is so mixed up right now that it is a poor indicator of how the economy is doing.

{"commentId":4662596,"threadId":"457585","contentId":"2244574","authorDomain":"sneila"}
  • 3 votes
#9
 - sneilarreal
 - 6:41 pm EST on Sun Jan 4, 2009
9,000 to 10,000 (up moderately)

There is available cash and some good buys, but do not expect a massive reinvestment. People will likely diversify to manage risk.

{"commentId":4662856,"threadId":"457585","contentId":"2244574","authorDomain":"rjshostak"}
    #10
     - ALAIND
     - 7:10 pm EST on Sun Jan 4, 2009
    7,400 to 8,500 (down moderately)

    There is a growing debt bubble that may burst late this year or in 2010. As a result, any stock market gains may be gone.

    {"commentId":4662919,"threadId":"457585","contentId":"2244574","authorDomain":"mhandels"}
    • 2 votes
    #11
     - mhandels
     - 7:16 pm EST on Sun Jan 4, 2009
    10,000 or above (up at least 15 percent)

    What we are seeing is, I think, the market resetting itself. You can only grow a bubble for so long before it 'bursts' us back to reality.

    {"commentId":4662934,"threadId":"457585","contentId":"2244574","authorDomain":"ctraver"}
      #12
       - Chris Traver
       - 7:18 pm EST on Sun Jan 4, 2009
      10,000 or above (up at least 15 percent)

      The market has overreacted. By June, investors will realize businesses are doing OK and the market will regain its normal footing.

      {"commentId":4663304,"threadId":"457585","contentId":"2244574","authorDomain":"dsharp"}
      • 2 votes
      #13
       - dsharp
       - 7:52 pm EST on Sun Jan 4, 2009
      10,000 or above (up at least 15 percent)

      The market has overreacted. By June, investors will realize businesses are doing OK and the market will regain its normal footing.

      {"commentId":4663305,"threadId":"457585","contentId":"2244574","authorDomain":"dsharp"}
        #14
         - dsharp
         - 7:52 pm EST on Sun Jan 4, 2009
        10,000 or above (up at least 15 percent)

        The market typically leads economic reality by 6 - 12 mos. Better days ahead.

        {"commentId":4663614,"threadId":"457585","contentId":"2244574","authorDomain":"gshields01"}
        • 1 vote
        #15
         - Rational Poster
         - 8:18 pm EST on Sun Jan 4, 2009
        10,000 or above (up at least 15 percent)

        It's not hard to be up 15% after this years lows-

        {"commentId":4664147,"threadId":"457585","contentId":"2244574","authorDomain":"COSveyor"}
          #16
           - COSveyor
           - 9:06 pm EST on Sun Jan 4, 2009
          10,000 or above (up at least 15 percent)

          Stay in for the pop !

          {"commentId":4664248,"threadId":"457585","contentId":"2244574","authorDomain":"jeffsutter"}
            #17
             - jeff sutter
             - 9:15 pm EST on Sun Jan 4, 2009
            8,500 to 9,000 (current range)

            The DJI will rally above 10,000, but will end the year between 8500 to 9,500 in year end tax loss selling. 2010 will be stronger.

            {"commentId":4664424,"threadId":"457585","contentId":"2244574","authorDomain":"jagisland"}
            • 1 vote
            #18
             - Jesse G-341147
             - 9:32 pm EST on Sun Jan 4, 2009
            7,400 or below (down at least 15 percent)

            if there is even a stock market around

            {"commentId":4664440,"threadId":"457585","contentId":"2244574","authorDomain":"ebbandflow67"}
              #19
               - riprap
               - 9:33 pm EST on Sun Jan 4, 2009
              7,400 or below (down at least 15 percent)

              The bailouts and other artificial stimulis iniatitives will in the end drive the stocks lower. Add to that protection measures that begin

              {"commentId":4664608,"threadId":"457585","contentId":"2244574","authorDomain":"alabamapj"}
                #20
                 - Patrick Johnson-789338
                 - 9:51 pm EST on Sun Jan 4, 2009
                7,400 or below (down at least 15 percent)

                Liberal Democrats, What eles is there to say?

                {"commentId":4665347,"threadId":"457585","contentId":"2244574","authorDomain":"pijoe"}
                  #21
                   - morons-797473
                   - 11:04 pm EST on Sun Jan 4, 2009
                  9,000 to 10,000 (up moderately)

                  Downturns just don't last that long. We have found the bottom, it's time to go back up

                  {"commentId":4665529,"threadId":"457585","contentId":"2244574","authorDomain":"nzaugg"}
                    #22
                     - Nate Z
                     - 11:25 pm EST on Sun Jan 4, 2009
                    7,400 to 8,500 (down moderately)

                    Pouring more tax payer money into this economy won't stimulate anything except a further weaking of the dollar. That equals a lower market

                    {"commentId":4665581,"threadId":"457585","contentId":"2244574","authorDomain":"toppy-1"}
                      #23
                       - bierseidel
                       - 11:30 pm EST on Sun Jan 4, 2009
                      7,400 or below (down at least 15 percent)

                      The meltdown will continue with our do nothing congress at bat. I see the dow at about 6200 this time nest year.

                      {"commentId":4665819,"threadId":"457585","contentId":"2244574","authorDomain":"irenec101"}
                        #24
                         - Dans-768565
                         - 11:56 pm EST on Sun Jan 4, 2009
                        10,000 or above (up at least 15 percent)

                        The market has value and many good company stocks are available, my forecast is it will gain back some of the value it lost.

                        {"commentId":4666079,"threadId":"457585","contentId":"2244574","authorDomain":"mccoy1111"}
                        • 1 vote
                        #25
                         - Jerry D Williamson
                         - 12:36 am EST on Mon Jan 5, 2009